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think this race is razor tight -- >> the race is as tight as they come. >> the look at other national polls show it's razor tight. >> it remains razor tight. >> yes. this race is razor tight. >> people razor tight is not a thing!
% among likely voters. a look at other national polls confirm it's razor tight, maybe even a mirror image of the 2004 showdown between president bush and senator john kerry. we see some movement towards the president. obama leads by seven points, almost four in ten. and he leads by four points in the battleground states, again, though, within the margin of error. the president is holding on to an eight-point advantage among women and that's slightly higher than romney's edge among men. the president's job rating sits at 49%. take a look at these numbers. 67% of likely voters approve of his handling of hurricane sandy. haven't seen numbers like that for this president on a single event, of course, going back to bin laden. and we may be seeing a sandy effect in other numbers. when voters are asked which candidate has better leadership qualities, the president -- more now pick the president. two weeks ago mitt romney led in that question, 44% to 40%. this doesn't mean romney doesn't have some things going for him. he's winning independents, the group the president won in 2008. romney l
unpredictability into an already razor tight election battle." you can give us a call and tell us where you think the impact will be. this story is from "usa today." one of the angles that could be affected, early voting, indicating a tight race for the white house. "while the campaigns are pointing to absentee and early voting data, there are reasons to be optimistic about the chances. host: let's hear from our first caller this morning. tom, sioux falls, s.d.. good morning. caller: i think it will be a huge impact on the election. especially if these states lose electricity. it may be a scenario with the electric -- member that last storm, one year ago? if they lose the electricity for one week, 10 days, voting machines will not work. i think the brunt of the storm is going to hit a blue state, as they stay. if it had hit a swing state, this would really be something to watch. host: tom, does it feel like there is a lot of attention focused on this? but you are in south dakota, not impacting you directly. caller: it is, in a way, we are in one of the worst drought of many years here. we would l
poll coming out of ohio, 49-49, razor tight and this was before the final debate. take a moment here to take us through how each side thinks they win the state. >> you know, the joke is there are five -- it's five states within one state. the five ohios. but let me just take you through basically the romney pattern here which is run up the score in coal country. that's what bush did in '04, and win the swing areas of columbus media market, an '04 bush territory. was '08 obama. and win hamilton county. for the president, run up the score in cleveland, cuyahoga county and overperform with working class white guys in the auto belt, if you will, the toledo area, but if you're looking at just one county that may tell us more than anything, david, you sit over here and we're going to take you to hamilton county. look at this. it's as easy of a swing county as it is, bush carried it in '04 by 22,000 votes. obama carried it by 30,000 votes there. it's why mitt romney spent a lot of time in cincinnati this week. >> as hamilton county goes, perhaps ohio goes, so let's turn now to the governor
razor tight here. you have a storm coming. are you at all concerned that -- let's assume power could be out in a lot of these places through election day. is that now a card? >> it's seven days from the time the storm passes until election day. we've taken precautions to move up polling places to higher spots for restoration. the power company is well aware of that. i don't think it will interfere with voting. the ground game is the best i've seen in my 20 years in politics for the republican team here, lester. about 4 million phone calls. 1.5 million door knocks. people are very engaged. they're energized. a lot of young people are helping the republican team this time and i think we're going to win virginia. >> you mentioned unemployment. you're under the national average here, thank goodness, but you hava lot of government jobs, a lot of military jobs. a series of mandatory cuts in defense spend iing at the end o the year. i know you have criticized the president on this but paul ryan vo voted for that. so how do you make the case? >> republicans and democrats supported the seques
votes. but those are four important electoral votes because this race is so razor tight, alex. president obama won this state in 2008 and hasn't seen some of the same effects of the economic downturn as other states in fact the unemployment rate here is at 5.7%. it's far below the national average. but of course mitt romney has a home in this state. he was governor of neighboring massachusetts. so he carries a lot of weight here in this state as well. i expect from president obama takes the podium later on this afternoon you will hear him continue his message to middle class voters trying to make the case that he is the candidate to best preserve the interests of middle class voters and also to sort of reiterate what you heard in that commercial that you ran a little bit earlier on which is that mitt romney has sort of shifted some of his opinions, moved further to the middle to try and shore up votes. that's one of president obama's key messages right now. alex, i can tell you this race here in new hampshire is essentially in a deadlock with the president holding onto a narrow lead. >>
presidential campaign trail with the race razor tight and election day ten days away. we'll find out how the weather is affecting campaign plans down the wire. also at one time adult film star turned public school teacher goes to court to get her job back. this morning we'll hear her emotional plea to get a second chance. >>> and justin timberlake has only been married a week and already is saying i'm sorry. we'll tell you why. it's all when we get started on a saturday morning right here on "today." for now back to you in washington might have something to do with meet loaf, huh? >> i think so. by the way, i'll see you guys. i'm doing to do "nightly news" from washington tonight in your studio. >> great. >> we'll see you here. thanks so much. >>> all right. weather wise we continue to talk about sandy. it's going to be for several days. >> this is not going to be an in and out kind of storm. this is going to be a come and stay and visit for a while kind of storm. we'll talk about your weekend and the rather scary looking week ahead for halloween. how does it brew such great coffee?
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